Toss two coins as suggested in the hint. Let getting two heads or a head and a tail represent making the shot; let getting two tails represent missing the shot.

Toss the coins once. If you have two tails, she missed the free throw and the game is over.

If you have at least one head, she made a point and the game is tied; she gets a second shot. Toss the coins again. Did your team win, or is the game still tied?

Do this experiment about 50 times to predict whether your team won or not.